Is UK Housing Past Its Worst? Even we are starting to think it might be, or...

by RichardM 15. October 2009 21:45

The UK housing market is "past the worst" according to foreign exchange company Moneycorp. In an interview with Write About Property, David Kerns, dealing manager in the Moneycorp private division, said:

"Housing, data at the moment would certainly confirm that the UK housing sector is, certainly past its worst, and we've seen about 5-6 months now of growth in UK housing."

His statements come just days after the government index run by the Department of Communities and Local Government came out showing a 0.5% increase on the month of August, and a 2.7% increase on the quarter.

The interviewer, Liam Bailey was silent for the first time in nearly the whole interview. This is because, Liam believes like we do here at Zungalow that there is a second dip on the horizon for UK house prices.

That is, we did believe it, but every time an index that we trust; an index with no commercial interest in creating positive sentiment comes out showing continued growth in UK house prices, we doubt ourselves just a little bit more.

I mean, David Kerns sounds old enough to have analysed more than the current recession, and he has his finger on the pulse of the shocking employment figures the same as we do, but he truly thinks the housing market is past its worst, strongly enough to base currency dealing decisions on it.

That said, as Kerns admitted in the interview: housing is not crucial to making forex calculations at the moment, because all the other data is and will keep Sterling low, and things like rising unemployment and quantitative easing need to be stopped before Sterling can really grow. So he has no reason to analyse the housing market at the same lengths as we have and will continue to.

As we always say, though we love to follow house prices, they really are not all that important. Firstly the national average is very rarely found on any British street or area, and secondly all houses are falling in value so in most cases the money you lose in selling you will gain in buying.

So, why not give it a go while the going's good; sell your house with Zungalow for just £29 per year.

Digg It!DZone It!StumbleUponTechnoratiRedditDel.icio.usNewsVineFurlBlinkList

Is UK Housing Past Its Worst? Even we are starting to think it might be, or...

by RichardM 15. October 2009 21:45

The UK housing market is "past the worst" according to foreign exchange company Moneycorp. In an interview with Write About Property, David Kerns, dealing manager in the Moneycorp private division, said:

"Housing, data at the moment would certainly confirm that the UK housing sector is, certainly past its worst, and we've seen about 5-6 months now of growth in UK housing."

His statements come just days after the government index run by the Department of Communities and Local Government came out showing a 0.5% increase on the month of August, and a 2.7% increase on the quarter.

The interviewer, Liam Bailey was silent for the first time in nearly the whole interview. This is because, Liam believes like we do here at Zungalow that there is a second dip on the horizon for UK house prices.

That is, we did believe it, but every time an index that we trust; an index with no commercial interest in creating positive sentiment comes out showing continued growth in UK house prices, we doubt ourselves just a little bit more.

I mean, David Kerns sounds old enough to have analysed more than the current recession, and he has his finger on the pulse of the shocking employment figures the same as we do, but he truly thinks the housing market is past its worst, strongly enough to base currency dealing decisions on it.

That said, as Kerns admitted in the interview: housing is not crucial to making forex calculations at the moment, because all the other data is and will keep Sterling low, and things like rising unemployment and quantitative easing need to be stopped before Sterling can really grow. So he has no reason to analyse the housing market at the same lengths as we have and will continue to.

As we always say, though we love to follow house prices, they really are not all that important. Firstly the national average is very rarely found on any British street or area, and secondly all houses are falling in value so in most cases the money you lose in selling you will gain in buying.

So, why not give it a go while the going's good; sell your house with Zungalow for just £29 per year.

Digg It!DZone It!StumbleUponTechnoratiRedditDel.icio.usNewsVineFurlBlinkList

Nationwide index for September, House Prices Back up to 2008 Levels

by RichardM 3. October 2009 15:08

Nationwide issued its house price index for September yesterday. It showed that house prices rose on average 0.9% between August and September. The tri-monthly measure, which is less volatile and widely regarded as the more accurate short term indicator rose from a growth of 3.3% in the 3 months ending August, to a growth of 3.8% in the 3 months ending September.

This is the fifth monthly rise recorded by the Nationwide, and the lender now has the average UK house price at the same as it was in September last year -- before the catastrophic collapse of Lehman Brothers.

None the less, this still does not signal the end of the crisis, because -- as even Nationwide acknowledge -- transactions are still far too low to support such growth, leaving it based solely on the drastic shortage of housing supply.

Martin Gahbauer, Nationwide's chief economist said:

"The further increase in house prices is very much consistent with improvements in a broad range of economic and financial indicators over the last few months, all of which suggest that the most intense phase of the recession and financial crisis has probably passed. However, given that the housing market still faces considerable headwinds in the form of high unemployment, restrictive credit conditions and an impending withdrawal of the stamp duty holiday, it would be surprising to see house prices continuing to increase at the very strong rate seen in recent months."

But as we continue to say, house prices make no difference to people who want to sell their house, because you will save what you lose on the house you buy, which will also have lost value. Sell your house with Zungalow for just £29 per year.

Digg It!DZone It!StumbleUponTechnoratiRedditDel.icio.usNewsVineFurlBlinkList

UK House Prices, Where will they Stop Nobody Knows

by RichardM 26. September 2009 10:00

You may have read my comments that I made on Write About Property yesterday, on predicting the future of UK house prices.

In it, I agreed with the author of the post Liam Bailey's opinion, that UK house prices still haven't stopped falling, there is still too many things capable of pulling prices down: constricted mortgage market, unemployment and foreclosures are the big three, but there is also vendor realism and negative equity affecting thousands.

When I was talking to Liam he told me about a new article he is planning to write, based on a survey of landlords about their forecasts for UK house prices. So far, of the responses he has received so far, many of the UK's buy to let landlords think that house prices have some way to fall yet, with forecasts ranging from next Easter to 2014 for when the recovery will start.

Of course if you listen to the industry bulls the recovery is well underway. As Liam covered, the major indices certainly support this view; all of them are showing house prices rising on a monthly basis for most of this year, and according to Nationwide prices are now just 2.1% lower than they were a year ago.

Here at Zungalow, we don't really care what house prices do because it should never stop people from selling their house. This is because -- as we have pointed out in previous posts -- all house prices are falling. So, while your house will sell for less, you can buy your next house for less as well, and end up coming out of the deal exactly the same financially.

Zungalow allows you to sell your house for £29 per year, at that price can you afford not to give it a go with Zungalow.

Digg It!DZone It!StumbleUponTechnoratiRedditDel.icio.usNewsVineFurlBlinkList

Halifax Undervaluing Houses, Zungalow Says Value your Own House

by RichardM 20. September 2009 12:24

It has been revealed that Halifax's valuing system for mortgages is leading to people paying higher rates because their properties are being undervalued.

The Times broke the story on the Halifax undervaluing property by up to £35,000, which potentially adds £12,000 to the cost of a mortgage.

The article featured the story of Simon Lord, 49, an estate agent, and his wife Katherine, 44, from Bath.

The couple came to the end of their mortgage with Halifax in July, and their house was automatically valued. The Halifax valuation, based on its index said that the Lord's had 25% equity in their house.

Unhappy with the figure, the Lord's paid £1,000 for Halifax’s own surveyor, Colleys, to visit their property for a physical valuation. This turned out to be 35.6% higher, at more than £1m, giving them the 60% equity required for the top deals.

“We would have had to acquiesce to a far less favourable mortgage if we’d accepted Halifax’s initial valuation,” said Lord.

Halifax said it updates its index every quarter for valuation purposes. This penalises home owners when prices are rising, though benefits them in a falling market. A spokeswoman said: “We’re confident that we have a robust process in place.”

This story adds even more weight to the advice we have been giving for several months now, people need to be carrying out their own valuations, even if they are using the services of an estate agent. This way they will know if someone is either undervaluing or overvaluing their house.

Find out how to value your own house in our How to Sell Your House guide.

Digg It!DZone It!StumbleUponTechnoratiRedditDel.icio.usNewsVineFurlBlinkList

UK House Prices Don't Matter, You Can Do Well in Any Market with the Right Attitude

by RichardM 9. September 2009 21:31

The UK housing market has bottomed, price falls have finished, and price growth, though slow will return next year. That is according to a survey of 30 analysts conducted by Reuters, who said that prices will end the year slightly lower than they started it, grow by 0.5% next year, and 2.5% the year after.

The UK is absolutely obsessed by house prices, but it is all much of a much-ness; if you have the right attitude you can do just as well out of the current housing market as you could in 2006.

There are people who are refusing to sell their houses because they won't get the peak price for it, even if they bought the house years before and could still make a profit at a 30% discount on peak, they are sitting on it, depressing and waiting for better days.

The fact of the matter is, house prices are relative. That is to say, all houses are falling in value, so by the time you sell up, remortgage and buy the bigger house your family needs, you will end up paying the same amount in mortgage repayments as you would at the peak in 2007.

Because, while you would have got a lot more for your house then, the bigger house would have been a lot more expensive also, and vice versa, now, the bigger house is a lot cheaper. And the same goes for people who want to downsize; yes, they lose out on the sale, but the smaller house will also be cheaper and they will come away with the same amount (approximately) left over.

So, in answer to the question: is now the time to sell your house? Yes, now is the time to sell your house, because it is no different to any other time.

Digg It!DZone It!StumbleUponTechnoratiRedditDel.icio.usNewsVineFurlBlinkList

Now is the Time to Sell Your House -- if you're Quick that is

by RichardM 4. September 2009 17:36

I was interviewed for online property publication Write About Property yesterday, to see whether I thought now was a good time to be selling UK property. The title kinda gives away my answer; Now is the Time to Sell Your House, C'Mon Quick.

I'll tell you what I told them:

If you have a good property in a good area, now is the time to sell, and I mean right now. Short supply is driving up prices and you may even get close to peak value if you can get your property onto the market before supply of like-for-likes increases in your area, before everyone catches on if you like.

So how quickly can you get your property on the market, with Zungalow you can do it in 10 mins. You're thinking, but ah, first you need to get your home information pack. That's true, but Zungalow allows you to put your property on the site to show it off, neither for sale or rent, and for free. Then you will be shopping around not only to find the best price for your HIP, but also the company with the quickest delivery time.

Once you have your HIP, simply pay the £29 up your membership to silver, add pictures and mark your house for sale. Click here to find out how to value your property online for free.

Digg It!DZone It!StumbleUponTechnoratiRedditDel.icio.usNewsVineFurlBlinkList

UK House Prices Up for 4th Consecutive Month, on Low Interest Rates Says Nationwide

by RichardM 27. August 2009 17:26

Nationwide have issued their figures on UK house prices for August, and it contains yet more positive news.

The average house price was 1.6% higher in August than it was in July. This the 4th consecutive monthly increase in UK house prices.

Growth on the less volatile and reputedly more accurate tri-monthly measure accelerated from a growth of 2.7% in the three months ending June, to 3.3% in the three months ending August. And annually the rate of decline has slowed from 6.2% to 2.7%.

Martin Gahbauer, Nationwide's chief economist has put the upward pressure down to the low interest rates, but as I have already commented on Write About Property, I am taking that with a pinch of salt, because, lest we not forget Nationwide has every reason to create positive sentiment on the housing market.

I'll tell you what I told them:

"The reality is that transaction levels are still sucky, no one with a hefty deposit can get an affordable mortgage, and that is out of the people who have sufficient job security to even want a mortgage in the current climate. The only prop underneath prices is the fact that supply is low and this has meant that buyers have temporarily lost the buyers-market power they had in 2008, if that changes prices will fall again."

So there you have it. The advice you can take from that is: get in quick and sell in a sellers' market, before too many people catch on.

Digg It!DZone It!StumbleUponTechnoratiRedditDel.icio.usNewsVineFurlBlinkList

The Times Says Sell Now, Sellers Hope No One Listens

by RichardM 23. August 2009 07:14
FSBO Sign

This article that I have just read in The Times is about the best example I've seen so far to show the topsy-turvy world of the current UK housing market.

The article is on how now is the time to sell your house because you stand a good chance of getting a good price, because low-stock levels mean little competition from other sellers. But it is also noted in the article that if supply increases massively it will likely drive prices down yet again.

So if everyone follows the advice of those in the article, then everyone will be knackered for getting a good price. The irony could be that, by printing this article The Times have given the game away.

We have been warning on this blog for many months now, that a rapid increase in supply would be detrimental to the future of UK house prices, and how the currently positive news threatened to make that a reality. However, it does seem that there have been a few shrewd people who have timed it just right in their area and got an extremely good price for their house.

If you do decide to follow the advice of the Times interviewees and check out housing supply and get started about selling your house, Zungalow offers a fantastic property advertising package for just £29 per year. Such a low price perhaps takes the risk out of sticking your toe into the house selling water.

Digg It!DZone It!StumbleUponTechnoratiRedditDel.icio.usNewsVineFurlBlinkList

Private Property Sellers Can Benefit from Valuing their Own Properties

by RichardM 13. August 2009 16:41

The Little House Company, has unveiled a new paid-for service to allow private property sellers to gain detailed information about a property so that they can reach the best possible valuation.

As people continue to be disappointed with the length of time their property has been on the market for, more and more people are advertising their properties on private property sales sites like Little House and Zungalow, and adding a clause to their estate agents' contract so that they pay no fee if their private efforts sell the property.

Doing this makes their estate agent work harder and also gives them a better chance of selling their property in a timely fashion.

The biggest challenge to a timely house sale is an inaccurate valuation. During high times estate agents have admitted inflating house prices to make more money, and in the current (low times) climate estate agents have been known to inflate valuations to gain instructions.

That said; it is a good idea to conduct your own valuation, even if you have an agent value and then make a judgement based on all the information to hand. This is a good idea whether you plan to sell your house privately or not.

If you do not want to pay for the ability to do your own valuation, here is how you can do it for free:

 

  1. Put your postcode into the Land Registry's index page
    This will tell you how much houses in your area are selling for
  2. Use Nationwide's House Price Calculator
    This allows you to enter the value of your house at previous valuations to calculate how much it is worth now.
  3. Take the two figures and apply a little common sense to reach your sale price
Digg It!DZone It!StumbleUponTechnoratiRedditDel.icio.usNewsVineFurlBlinkList

About Zungalow LTD

Zungalow is a property social network where members can create property schedules using text, photo & videos for free. Unlike other property websites there is no obligations to buy, sell or rent to be part of our community.

Find us on Facebook

We have our very own facebook page, click here to join.

Calendar

<<  September 2010  >>
MoTuWeThFrSaSu
303112345
6789101112
13141516171819
20212223242526
27282930123
45678910

View posts in large calendar

RecentComments

Comment RSS